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러시아의 동북아 에너지사업과 일·중간 협력가능성 연구: 게임이론을 적용하여

Author
이성규, 윤익중
Journal Title
사회과학연구
Publication Year
2007
Topics
Summary

This study analyzes the reasons why Japan and China prefer a competitive strategy over a cooperative one in the East Siberian Pacific Ocean (ESPO) pipeline construction and Russian oil import projects in Northeast Asia’s energy business, using game theory. The results show that the two countries are at risk of falling into a “prisoner’s dilemma” due to a lack of mutual trust and the pursuit of national interests, and bilateral cooperation is likely to prevail over multilateral cooperation. Therefore, it is a wise strategy for both countries to identify and cooperate in areas where they need each other to enhance mutual trust.

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