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지수평활법과 ARIMA모형을 이용한 무역인력 수급예측에 관한 연구

Author
방성철, 박광서
Journal Title
무역상무연구
Publication Year
2022
Summary

This study predicted the supply and demand of trade experts from 2021 to 2025 using the exponential smoothing method and ARIMA model, revealing an estimated shortage of 5,705 to 10,392 trade experts per year on average. As the importance of trade is expected to increase due to changes in the global trade environment, the demand for trade experts is likely to increase further, and the supply-demand imbalance is expected to worsen with decreasing supply.

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